9.20 Myth about Replacing Dead, Disabled, or Discredited Presidential Candidates

9.20.1 MYTH: A major benefit of the current system is that it permits replacement of a dead, disabled, or discredited presidential candidate between Election Day and the Electoral College meeting.

QUICK ANSWER:

  • The National Popular Vote Compact would not abolish the Electoral College. Both the Compact and the current system would operate identically in terms of being able to replace a dead, disabled, or discredited presidential candidate in the 42-day period between Election Day in November and the Electoral College meeting in mid-December.
  • Both major political parties have an established procedure for choosing a replacement for their nominees for President and Vice President.
  • This myth is similar to many of the myths about the National Popular Vote Compact in this book in that the Compact deals with a hypothetical problem in a manner that is identical to the current system.

UCLA Law Professor Daniel H. Lowenstein points out that the existence of the Electoral College permits expeditious replacement of a dead, disabled, or discredited President-Elect in the brief 42-day period between Election Day in November and the Electoral College meeting in mid-December.[419]

Lowenstein says that this feature of the Electoral College is:

“what might someday turn out to be the Electoral College’s greatest benefit.”[420]

Lowenstein continues:

“What is needed for such problems is a political solution. And the Electoral College is ideal for the purpose. The decision would be made by people in each state selected for their loyalty to the presidential winner. Therefore, abuse of the system to pull off a coup d’etat would be pretty much out of the question. But in a situation in which the death, disability or manifest unsuitability plainly existed, the group would be amenable to a party decision, which seems to me the best solution.”[421]

Because the National Popular Vote Compact does not abolish the Electoral College, both the current state-by-state winner-take-all method of awarding electoral votes and the Compact would operate in identical ways in dealing with the contingency replacing a presidential or vice-presidential nominee who dies, becomes disabled, or is discredited during this particular 42-day period. That is, the Compact would not affect the ability of the Electoral College to perform the function envisioned by Professor Lowenstein.

Note that after selection of the President and Vice President (whether by the Electoral College or in a contingent election in Congress held on January 6), section 3 of the 20th Amendment (ratified in 1933) governs:

“If, at the time fixed for the beginning of the term of the President, the President elect shall have died, the Vice President elect shall become President. If a President shall not have been chosen before the time fixed for the beginning of his term, or if the President elect shall have failed to qualify, then the Vice President elect shall act as President until a President shall have qualified; and the Congress may by law provide for the case wherein neither a President elect nor a Vice President elect shall have qualified, declaring who shall then act as President, or the manner in which one who is to act shall be selected, and such person shall act accordingly until a President or Vice President shall have qualified.”

Thus, because of the 20th Amendment, the period in which Lowenstein envisions the Electoral College could replace a nominee for President or Vice President is rather brief. There are 1,461 days in a President’s four-year term. The 42 days between Election Day and the Electoral College meeting constitute less than 3% of that time. The original Constitution, the 20th Amendment, and the 25th Amendment provide the procedure for 97% of the four-year period involved (that is, the Vice President would be the replacement).[422], [423]

This myth is similar to many myths about the National Popular Vote Compact in this book in that the Compact deals with a hypothetical problem in a manner that is identical to the current system.

Footnotes

[419] Election Day is the Tuesday after the first Monday in November. Depending on the year, Election Day can be any date from November 2 to November 9. The meeting date of the Electoral College is the Tuesday after the second Wednesday in December under the Electoral Count Reform Act of 2022. It can be any date from December 14 (if Election Day is November 2) to December 20 (if Election Day is November 8). In every case, there are 42 days between Election Day and the meeting date of the Electoral College. For example, in 2024, Election Day will be Tuesday November 5, and the meeting date for the Electoral College will be Tuesday December 17.

[420] Debate entitled “Should We Dispense with the Electoral College?” sponsored by PENNumbra (University of Pennsylvania Law Review) available at http://www.pennumbra.com/debates/pdfs/electoral_college.pdf.

[421] Ibid.

[422] Procedural Rules for the 2020 Democratic National Convention. Call for the 2020 Democratic National Convention. August 25, 2018. Page 19. https://democrats.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/02/2020-Call-for-Convention-WITH-Attachments-2.26.19.pdf

[423] Rules of the Republican Party. Adopted August 24,2020. Amended April 14, 2022. https://prod-static.gop.com/media/Rules_of_the_Republican_Party_090921.pdf